A three-year denizen of the Tiger Beat ghetto, Justin Bieber claims refugee status with Believe.
The album, being released Tuesday, is widely perceived as the Canadian singer's attempt to make the change into a more mature sound, and to win over older fans, those likelier to request an autograph on their bosoms than their binders.
But even as Bieber's evolved pre-release singles earn critical praise, questions remain about whether the 18-year-old will find industry validation or end up a mere footnote in teen idol history.
"I've predicted a Justin Timberlake moment, when all of a sudden [insiders] might find critical value in what he does," says Steve Jordan, founder of the Polaris Music Prize. "I've been laughed at for predicting that. But we'll see. It could happen."
Believe features guest beats by Ludacris, Nicki Minaj, Drake and Big Sean, and producer credits that read like a Who's Who of music. Although all bets are off until every track is out, critical praise for lead singles Boy-friend and Die in Your Arms suggests Bieber may soon have a permanent seat at the grown-ups table.
There's even talk in Polaris circles of a future nomination for the prestigious prize, an outcome that would surely have hipsters hanging them-selves by their skinny jeans.
"There's a long history of teen idols who proved themselves to be truly talented and even ones whose talent may not lie in their vocal range," says Jordan, citing Frank Sinatra, the Beat-les and Elvis Presley as examples of the former, and Britney Spears and Madonna as the latter. "As long as his audience grows with him and he grows with his audience, he'll be fine."
James Keast, editor-in-chief of music magazine Exclaim!, remains skeptical, noting Bieber has too effectively made a punchline out of his "Bieberness." At this year's Oscars, for instance, he told host Billy Crystal he was there to "get you the 18-24 demographic."
"His career seems to be just being Bieber," says Keast. "The fact he's hanging out with Kanye or Skrillex or whoever, really seems transparently like, 'Oh, look at me, I'm edgy.' " It's easy to interpret the high-profile collaborations on Believe as a kind of fig leaf, with the singer hiding behind other performers' established credentials. And given the palpable stigma he faces, it's no wonder.
A recent profile in GQ opens with the line, "I have been told specifically I will be able to punch Justin Bieber in the face," and quickly segues into: "I can't wait to draw some Canadian teenybopper blood." Important, however, the cover story - between predictable tongue-clucking - recognizes he is a legitimate talent with something to offer.
MuchMusic's Lauren Toyota is among those taking notice.
"When he first came out, our automatic reaction was to go, 'Oh, teen heartthrob; he's not going to last.' But quickly he's established a huge fan base, and respect from adults in the music industry," says Toyota, co-host of this year's MuchMusic Video Awards.
"He's matured in certain ways, and is experimenting with a bit of an edgier sound, he's doing it in a way that isn't shocking his fans or making them uncomfortable."
Max Valiquette, managing director of strategy at Canadian ad agency Ben-simon Byrne, predicts Bieber will benefit from the prevailing ethos of being "allowed" to appreciate pure pop artists without smirking or irony.
But the road to validation will be fraught with push-back from those whose pop education didn't begin with high school musical.
"The greater your entrenchment with younger pop fans, the harder it is to change into conquering the adult market," says Valiquette. "The challenge for an artist like Justin Bieber is that people feel guilty listening to his songs."
In Edmonton, for example, there's a pop radio station that routinely trumpets a "No Bieber" policy, with DJs ribbing those listeners who deign to request his music.
Valiquette says the same hurdles existed for Timberlake before leaving NSync in the early 2000s.
"If you told me at the time of Tearin' Up My Heart or I Want You Back that, 15 years later, Timberlake would be this acting-singing-dancing-Saturday Night-Live-hosting quadruple threat, I would've said you're crazy. But here he is," says Valiquette.
"The primary lesson is this: surround yourself with the best people, and be so good that it's impossible to ignore you."
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